中文标题：山区乡村空心化的季节性变化及其影响机制分析一以西部 A 具为例

英文标题：Research on the Seasonal Changes and Influencing Mechanism of Rural Hollowincin Mountainous Areas: Taking County A in West China as an Example

作者信息

张擎天  南京大学建筑与城市规划学院硕士研究生

罗小龙  南京大学建筑与城市规划学院教授(通讯作者)

彭海涛  重庆市规划和自然资源调查监测院高级工程师

顾宗倪  南京大学建筑与城市规划学院助理研究员

鲍紫藤  南京大学建筑与城市规划学院硕士研究生

摘要 本文依托西部A县2016 年用电数据及相关经济社会发展统计数据，在分析A 县乡村空心化率空间分布的基础上，运用空间分析方法，研究A县乡村空心化的季节性变化特征，并由此将A县村庄划分为常年“空心村”、常年活跃村、季节性活跃村和季节性“空心村”四种不同类型，借助回归模型，探讨不同类型的村庄形成的动力机制。研究发现，山区乡村空心化的空间分布具有三个特征:第一，村庄空心化程度存在区域差异;第二，村庄月度空心化率有明显的季节性波动特征，空心化率“低-低集聚区”与空心化率“高-高集聚区”的分布范围，会随着时间的推移而变化;第三，村庄空心化的类型也存在多样化的特征，且其空间分布与村庄面积、地形环境特征、企业数量、旅游资源分布等因素密切相关。

关 键 词 空心化率;季节性变化;空心化类型;驱动力;西部乡村

Abstract Based on the 2016 energy consumption data and related economic andsocial development statistics of county A in western China, this paper analyzes theseasonal change characteristics of rural hollowing in county A based on the spatialdistribution of rural hollowing rate in county A, spatial analysis methods are used toanalyze the seasonal change characteristics of rural hollowing in county A, and basedon this divides the villages in county A into four different types: perennial hollowvillage, perennial active village, seasonal active village and seasonal hollow village.and then discusses the dynamic mechanism of the formation of different types ofvillages. The study found that the hollowing distribution of mountainous villageshas the following characteristics: firstly, there are regional diferences in the degreeof village hollowing; secondly, the monthly hollowing rate of villages has obviousseasonal fluctuation characteristics. The distribution range of low hollowing rate-low